Middle East situation volatile and uncertain, aluminium prices consolidate and adjust

SHFE aluminium closed at RMB 23,030 per tonne, down 0.78 per cent. The price was below all key moving averages (MA5=23,035, MA10=23,135, MA30=23,359.83, MA60=23,399.08). The moving-average system was in a bearish alignment, and the weak pattern continued.

MACD indicators showed DIF=-196.09 and DEA=-260.78; the golden cross remained, but the histogram narrowed sharply to 129.39 (181.64 the previous day), indicating a rapid fade in bullish momentum and insufficient rebound strength. Trading volume expanded to 91,400 lots, but overall remained at a low level, with market divergence increasing somewhat.

The suggested core operating range for SHFE aluminium is 22,800-23,300. LME aluminium closed at USD 3,138.5 per tonne, edging up 0.08 per cent. The price was below all key moving averages (MA5=3,154.2, MA10=3,158.85, MA30=3,233.43, MA60=3,417.72). The moving averages were in a bearish alignment, and weakness continued.

MACD indicators showed DIF=-62.31 and DEA=-78.14; the golden cross remained, but the histogram narrowed to 31.66 (38.31 the previous day), with bullish momentum weakening. The suggested core operating range for LME aluminium is 3,100-3,160.